শনিবার, ৩০ আগস্ট, ২০১৪

Climate Change of Thinking Revolution & Bangladesh


Rjevqy cwieZ©b, wPš—vi weeZ©b I evsjv‡`k
†gv. bvwQi DwÏb AwbK  nasiranik@gmail.com

eZ©gvb we‡k¦ Av‡jvwPZ Bm¨y¸‡jvi g‡a¨ wMÖYnvDm cÖwZwµqv ev Rjevqy cwieZ©b Ab¨Zg| Rjevqy cwieZ©b AvR †MvUv wek¦evmxi R‡b¨ GKwU fqven D‡Ø‡Mi KviY n‡q `vuwo‡q‡Q| GwU GLb ïay cwi‡ekMZ welq bq| GB cwieZ©b AvR wek¦ wbivcËvi welq wn‡m‡e Avwef’©Z n‡q‡Q| GUv Awek¦vm¨ cÖvq †h 1896 mv‡j myBwWk †Kwgó mvfv›U AMvó cÖ_g e‡jwQ‡jb, c„w_exi Rjevqy cwieZ©‡bi K_v- c„w_exi AvenvIqv Mig n‡q DV‡Q Kve©b-WvB-A·vB‡Wi Kvi‡Y| GK_v ZLb c„w_exi ‡Kvb weÁvbxI wek¦vm K‡ibwb Ges mvfv›U‡K †KD cvËv †`qwb| hZw`b ch©šÍ Rjevqy cwieZ©‡bi d‡j cÖvK…wZK `y‡h©vM †b‡g bv G‡jv-ZZw`b ch©šÍ bv BD‡ivc, bv DËi Av‡gwiKv- †Kvb wkímg„× gnv‡`k I †Kv‡bv ‡`kB  Mv‡q gv‡Lwb G welq| Gi A‡bK c‡i 1924 mv‡j  Av‡gwiKvi wdwR÷ Avj‡dªW †Rgm ¯^xKvi K‡ib †h, Kqjv-R¡vjvwbi d‡j cwi‡e‡k Kve©b-WvB-A·vB‡Wi cwigvY evo‡Q| 1949 mv‡j weªwUk weÁvbx †M ÷zqvU© Abygvb K‡ib, 1850 †_‡K 1940 mv‡ji g‡a¨ 10 cv‡m©›U nv‡i Kve©b-WvB-A·vBW gvbe cÖwZ‡e‡k Rg‡Q| 1880 mvj †_‡K 1967 mvj ch©šÍ DËi BD‡ivc I DËi Av‡gwiKvq wkí wecøe †_‡K ZvcgvÎv e„w×i Mo 4 wWMÖx dv‡ib nvBU| Gi ci †_‡K weÁvbxiv b‡oP‡o e‡m wn‡me wb‡Kk Kl‡Z ïiæ Ki‡jb Ges we‡k¦i †`k cÖavbiv wew”Qbœfv‡e GB wb‡q Avjvc Av‡jvPbv ïiæ Ki‡jb| Ae‡k‡l 1988 mv‡j wek¦ †bZv‡`i wb‡q MVb nq (IPCC) INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE GUvB wek¦‡bZv‡`i me©cÖ_g c`‡ÿc|  GB eQ‡iB U‡i‡›Uv Kbdv‡i‡Ý †hvM`vbiZ 46 †`‡ki cÖwZwbwaiv Kve©b-WvB-A·vB‡Wi gvÎ 20 kZvs‡ki g‡a¨ ivLvi A½xKvi K‡ib m`m¨ wek¦ †bZ…e„›`| Gi ci 1992 mv‡j RvwZmsN †d«gIqv©K Kb‡fbkb, 1995 mv‡j wØZxq  IPCC m‡¤§jb, 1996 mv‡j wKDUv cÖ‡UvKj, 1997 I 2005 Rvcv‡bi K‡q‡Uv‡Z m‡¤§jb, 2007 mv‡j †ejwRqv‡gi eªv‡mj‡m  PZz_© IPCC m‡¤§jb BZ¨vw`i g~j cÖwZ‡e`†b †`Lv †M‡Q c„w_exi  ZvcgvÎv w`b w`b e„w× cv‡”Q  Ges G e¨vcv‡i wek¦ †bZ…e„‡›`i wm×všÍ †bIqv cÖ‡qvRb| AZci 2009 mv‡ji †k‡li w`‡K Rjevqy cwieZ©‡b  wek¦ †bZ…e„‡›`i wm×všÍ MÖn‡Yi Rb¨ †Kv‡cb‡n‡Mb m‡¤§jb|
G¸‡jv n‡jv Rjevqy cwieZ©‡b weÁvbx I wek¦ms¯’v RvwZmsN Ges m`m¨ †`k¸‡jvi ch©vqµwgK avivµg|
weÁvbxiv A‡bKw`b a‡i e‡j Avm‡Qb †h, wkí wecøe cieZx© 150 eQ‡ii †ewk mgq a‡i  c„w_exi evqygÛ‡j µgvMZ AwaK nv‡i wkí-KviLvbv †_‡K wbM©Z Kve©b-WvB-A·vBWmn wewfbœ M¨vm wbM©g‡bi d‡j evqygÛ‡ji DËvc cÖvq GK wWMÖx †mjwmqvm †e‡o †M‡Q| Kve©b-WvB-A·vBW evqygÛ‡j †f‡m †_‡K c„w_ex †_‡K wbM©Z Zvc a‡i ivL‡Q e‡j evqygÛ‡ji ZvcgvÎv µgvMZ evo‡Q| wewfbœ  ZvcgvÎv e„w×i Kvi‡Y wewfbœ †`‡ki †giæ A‡ji 47 eM© wK‡jvwgUvi †h eid ivR¨ i‡q‡Q Zv LÛ LÛ n‡q Mj‡Z ïiæ K‡i‡Q| ei‡di cvnvoMjv cvwb cÖevwnZ n‡q b`x I  mvM‡ii cvwbi D”PZv µgvMZ evov‡”Q | d‡j b`x I mvMi ZxieZx© AÂj †ewk cøvweZ n‡”Q|

Rjevqy cwieZ©‡bi djvdj t
* 1899 †_‡K 2005 mvj bvMv` c„w_ex‡Z †gvU ZvcgvÎv †e‡o‡Q `kwgK 76 wWwMÖ †mjwmqvm| Avi 1990 †_‡K 2100 mvj bvMv` f’c„‡ôi Mo ZvcgvÎv 1.40 wWwMÖ †mjwmqvm †_‡K 5.80 wWwMÖ †mjwmqvm ch©šÍ evo‡Z cv‡i|
* wkívqb- c~e© mgq †_‡K 2005 evj ch©šÍ evqygÛ‡j Kve©b-WvB-A·vB‡Wi cwigvY †e‡o‡Q 280 †_‡K 379 wcwcGg Ges 2100 mvj bvMv` evZv‡m Kve©b-WvB-A·vBW bM©g‡bi cwigvY `vuov‡e 540 †_‡K 970 wcwcGg|
* gvby‡li RxebhvÎv I A_©bxwZi Ici Rjevqy cwieZ©‡bi cÖfve me‡P‡q gvivZ&ªK| we‡k¦i cÖvq 25 wewjqb gvbyl ÔRjevqy DØv¯—Ô†Z cwiYZ n‡e| mgy`ªc„‡ôi D”PZv evo‡Z cv‡i 0.09 †_‡K 0.88 wgUvi ch©š—|
* ZvcgvÎv †`o †_‡K AvovB wWwMª †mjwmqvm evo‡j  G kZvãx‡ZB cÖvYx I Dw™¢` cÖRvwZ¸‡jvi  GK-Z…Zxqvsk ûgwKi gy‡LvgywL n‡Z cv‡i e‡j RvwZms‡Ni AvksKv|
* Gwkqvq eb¨v, Liv I weï× cvwbi Afve Zxeª n‡q IV‡e| †invB cv‡e bv Ab¨ gnv‡`k¸‡jvI|
* ïay cwi‡ekMZ Kvi‡Y MZ 20 eQ‡i we‡k¦ 1 †KvwU gvbyl DØv¯‘ n‡q‡Q|

Rjevqy cwieZ©b †cÖw¶Z evsjv‡`k t
c„w_exi evqygÛ‡ji ZvcgvÎv e„w×i  Kvi‡Y evsjv‡`‡ki Rjevqyi ¯^vfvweK ˆewkó¨ Ges †gŠwjK Pwi‡Îi e¨vcK cwieZ©b n‡”Q| mv‡_ hy³ n‡q‡Q bZzb bZzb wkí cÖwZóvb Zv‡Z KvR Kg©I e„w× cv‡”Q| M¨vm , ˆZj, I eb-R½j †cvov‡bv n‡”Q, cvnvo KvUv, DcKzjxq MvQ KvUv BZ¨vw` Pj‡Q|
djkÖæwZ‡Z A_v©r Rjevqy cwieZ©b RwbZ Kvi‡Y G‡Ki ci GK eb¨v, Liv, NywY©So I R‡jv”Qv‡mi g‡Zv cÖvK…wZK `y‡hv©‡Mi gy‡LvgywL n‡”Q Avgv‡`i †`k| 1998, 2004, I 2007 mv‡ji fqven eb¨v wQj eo ai‡bi wech©q| G‡Z miKvwi wnmve g‡Z 22 jvL Ub Lv`¨km¨ Kg Drcvw`Z n‡q‡Q| we‡klÁiv e‡j‡Qb, Rjevqy cwieZ©b welqwU evsjv‡`‡ki Rb¨ eo P¨v‡jÄ| Gwkqvb †W‡fjc‡g›U AvDUjyK 2008-09 Gi wi‡cv‡U© ejv n‡q‡Q, GB gyû‡Z© evsjv‡`‡ki Rb¨ Lv`¨ msK‡Ui †P‡q eo P¨v‡jÄ n‡”Q Rjevqy cwieZ©‡bi d‡j m„ó cÖvK…wZK wech©‡qi AvksKv|  Avgv‡`i †fЇMvwjK wP‡Îi aib Abymv‡i 710 wK‡jvwgUvi `xN© DcKyjxq GjvKv i‡q‡Q| hv †`‡ki †gvU AvqZ‡bi 23 fvM †`‡ki 20wU †Rjv |  BwZg‡a¨  DcK~jxq A‡ji 10 jvL †jvK Avf¨š—ixb DØv¯‘‡Z cwibZ n‡q‡Q| gvbyl eva¨ n‡q GK AÂj †_‡K Ab¨ A‡j wM‡q Avkªq LyR‡Q|
my›`ieb‡K wek¦ HwZ‡n¨i Ask wn‡m‡e †NvlYv K‡i‡Q BD‡b‡¯‹v, GB ai‡bi AÂj c„w_ex‡Z weij| my›`ie‡bi AvenvIqvi DòvqY NU‡Q wek¦ nv‡ii 8 ¸b †ewk| my›`ie‡bi 30 eM©wK‡jvwgUvi BwZg‡a¨ mvM‡i Zwj‡q †M‡Q| GK mgxÿvq †`Lv †M‡Q  e½cmvM‡ii cvwbi D”PZv evo‡Q 3.14 wgwjwgUvi K‡i GB nvi wek¦ nv‡ii †P‡q 1.14 wgwjwgUvi †ewk|
we‡klÁiv e‡j‡Qb, we‡k¦i Mo ZvcgvÎv .5 †_‡K 2 wWwMÖ evo‡j evsjv‡`k msjMœ mgy`ªc„‡ôi D”PZv evo‡e 10 †_‡K 15 †mw›UwgUvi| G‡Z †`‡ki DcK~‡ji 15 fvM f~wg †jvbv cvwbi wb‡P Wz‡e hv‡e| eZ©gv‡b Avgv‡`i DcK~jxq A‡j ‡`o †KvwU gvbyl jeYv³ cvwbi m‡½ emevm Ki‡Q|
Rjevqy cwieZ©b I cwie‡k wech©‡qi Kvi‡Y AvMvgx  40 eQ‡i evsjv‡`‡ki 2 †KvwU gvbyl DØv¯‘‡Z cwiYZ n‡e Ges 80 nvRvi gvbyl Nievox nviv‡e|

`vqx Ges `vq `vwqZ¡ t cwi‡ek wech©q Z_v Rjevqy cwieZ©‡bi Rb¨ cÖavbZ `vqx BD‡ivc I Av‡gwiKv gnv‡`‡ki †`k¸‡jv| GK Rwi‡c †`Lv †M‡Q, gvwK©b RbMY GKw`‡b †h cwigvY Rxevk¥ R¡vjvwb †cvovq, evsjv‡`k mviv eQ‡iI †m cwigvY †cvovq bv| Zviv hZUv Kve©b Qv‡o evqygÛ‡j, evsjv‡`k Zvi kZfv‡MiI Kg Qv‡o| Zv‡`i wkívq‡bi Rv`y, Avq Avi Avivg Av‡qk AvR evsjv‡`‡ki gZ Dbœqbkxj e-Øxc †`k¸‡jvi Nyg nvivg K‡i w`‡”Q| GB `vwqZ¡ cÖ_‡g wb‡Z n‡e Zv‡`i‡K, wkívq‡bi AvMÖvmx bxwZ cwieZ©b Ki‡Z n‡e| 10-15 eQi wMÖb nvDm M¨vm (Kve©b I wg‡_b) wbtmiY eÜ Ki‡Z n‡e| evsjv‡`‡ki `y‡h©vMcxwoZ gvbyl‡`i cwðgv we‡k¦ we‡kl K‡i hy³iv‡R¨ ¯’vbvšÍi K‡i Kg©ms¯’v‡bi my‡hvM m„wó Kivi `vex RvZxqfv‡e Zzj‡Z n‡e| Ab¨w`‡K evsjv‡`k miKv‡ii †Kv‡bv Pzw³ hv‡Z Rb¯^v‡_©i cwicš’x bv nq †mB w`‡K †Lqvj ivL‡Z n‡e| Avgv‡`i DcK~jxq A‡ji RbM‡Yi mvwe©K wbivcËvq miKvi‡K  wm×vš— MÖnY I ev¯—evq‡b GwM‡q Avm‡Z n‡e | fviZ miKvi AvMvgx 5 eQ‡ii g‡a¨ mg~`ª DcKyjxq GjvKv †_‡K 70 nvRvi †jvK‡K Ab¨Î mwi‡q †bIqvi wm×vš— wb‡q‡Q| wewfbœ †`‡ki miKvi GwM‡q Avm‡Q Rjevqy cwieZ©‡b ¶wZ †gvKv‡ejvq c`‡¶c wb‡”Q | Avgv‡`i miKv‡iiI GB ai‡bi c`‡¶c †bIqv `iKvi| Rjevqy cwieZ©b msµvš— wel‡q Avgv‡`i miKvi BwZg‡a¨ A‡bKUv m‡PZbZvi cwiPq w`‡q‡Q| b¨vkbvj A¨vKkb c­vb di A¨vWvc‡Ukb(bvcv) MVb K‡i ‡Kvb †Kvb Dcv‡q wgwU‡Mkb Kiv hvq, †m c_ A‡š^lY Ki‡Q| Zvi cvkvcvwk †emiKvwi cÖwZóvb , mykxj mgvR, I MYgva¨g G wel‡q m‡PbZv m„wó‡Z mgwš^Zfv‡e KvR Ki‡Q|

Avš—RvwZ©K chv©‡q  wewfbœ abx-`wi`ª †`k wg‡j Ges Avf¨š—ixb ch©v‡q M‡elYv I wm×vš— MÖn‡Y miKvwi D‡`¨v‡Mi cvkvcvwk †e-miKvwi ms¯’v†`i wb‡q Kv‡Ri mgš^q `iKvi| miKvi‡K we‡`kx Pzw³ Kivi †¶‡Î Fb MÖnY‡K wbi“rmvwnZ K‡i Aby`v‡bi cÖwZ bRi †`Iqv DwPZ| Rjevqy cwieZ©‡b ¶wZ mvgjv‡Z cÖ‡qvRbxq cÖ`‡¶c  MÖnY K‡i wWwRUvj evsjv‡`k Movi c_‡K mnRZi Ki‡e miKvi G cÖZ¨vkv mKj †`k †cÖgxi|

Z_¨ myÎt     Kjvg Ñ W. gvneye nvmvb Ñ cwieZ©gvb Rjevqy Avi Avgv‡`i Avqy
                gvwmK wbixK& Ñ wek¦ Rjevqy cwieZ©b   ÿ3-174 msL¨v

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